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JUST IN: Donald Trump Gets Good Sign from America’s Most Accurate Pollster,Read out and let know your View…
How Trump Harris’ Child Care Polices Differ. On the left, Democratic presidential nominee, Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a campaign event on September 02, 2024, in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. On the right, former President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump takes part in a town hall moderated by Fox News broadcaster Sean Hannity n Harrisburg,
The new polling from Times/Siena shows Trump with 48 percent support and Harris with 47 percent, giving the Republican a 1 point lead over the Democrat. The poll included 1,695 voters nationwide and has a margin of error of 2.8 points, meaning the race appears to be a statistical tie. ABC News’ polling analysis site 538 has ranked Times/Siena as the nation’s most accurate pollster. The ranking evaluates pollster on empirical accuracy and methodological transparency, combining these two factors to score the list. Newsweek reached out the Trump and Harris campaigns for comment via email on Sunday morning.
“The new poll underscores the risks and potential rewards, particularly facing Ms. Harris, on Tuesday night, when she and Mr. Trump will face off on ABC News. The survey found that 28 percent of likely voters said they felt they needed to know more about Ms. Harris, while only 9 percent said they needed to know more about Mr. Trump,” the Times reported regarding the survey. Polling averages show a tight race, although most national averages have Harris narrowly in the lead. The average by the Times has Harris ahead by 2, with the Democrat at 49 percent and Trump at 47 percent. Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin polling average shows Harris ahead by 3-at 49 percent compared to Trump’s 46 percent. And the average by 538 has Harris at 47.3 percent and Trump at 44.2 percent, a lead of 3.1 points for the Democrat. While the national polling provides insight into how the popular voter could ultimately turn out, the presidential election is widely expected to come down to the results in several critical battleground states. The campaigns are both targeting their efforts to these states, which include Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina and Wisconsin.
Trump lost the popular vote in 2016, but won the election by a series of narrow victories in swing states. Then in 2020, Biden led Trump by over 7 million votes nationally but only narrowly won in the critical swing states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The polling averages in the key battleground states for 2024 currently show a tight race. The average by the Times has Harris very narrowly ahead in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. The candidates are tied in Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina and Arizona. 538’s average has Trump up in Arizona and North Carolina, while Harris leads narrowly in Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
